Bill Park says that the idea of meeting old, non-biological
civilizations is nicely explored in James P. Hogan's
science-fiction novel "Code of the Lifemaker" (Ballantine Books,
1983). The book presents a detailed physical mechanism
for robotic evolution. Hogan was a British engineer
who left DEC to become a successful science fiction writer.
[, 07May98.]
Another source is Stephen Hawking's "Life in the Universe"
CD ROM, which proposes that humans will evolve to a mechanical
form better suited to space travel. (If nothing more immediate
prompts that action, we are likely to migrate when our sun
burns out.) Our machines will necessarily mine and refine
materials on other planets to manufacture their own replacements,
and perhaps they will learn to build ever better machines.
Hawking believes that computers will surpass the human mind
in interconnection complexity, storage density, and reasoning
capability. [Douglas Fraser , 08May98.]
Incidentally, 14May98 is the end of early registration
for the Virtual Humans 3 (VH3) conference, 16-17Jun98
in Los Angeles. Sessions include Norm Badler's keynote;
authoring tools for virtual humans; standards;
synthetic dialog; autonomous humanoids; and a discussion
of the digital kidnapping of celebrity personae.
. [Mike Bevan
, sci.virtual-worlds, 01May98.
Bill Park.]
I haven't checked the math -- in particular the combinatorics
of equivalent gene orderings -- but physicist Lawrence M. Krauss
says there are approximately 1,000 one-of-four base pairs making
up a DNA gene, or about 10^600 possible variants. "Now, many
of the individual letters in a gene may be irrelevant, but
even so, if 99.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999%
of all the possible gene combinations lead to junk genes,
the total number of different life-forms which could have appeared
on Earth [if each cell produced a new gene sequence each second
throughout Earth's history -- 10^47 combinations --] would still
be smaller in relation to the number of viable possibilities
than one atom is compared to the total number of atoms
in the universe! And that's just DNA. We have no idea
whether other self-replicating organic, or inorganic,
combinations might also be able to exist." ["Beyond Star Trek"
(BasicBooks, 1997).]
-- Ken